College Football Lines
Nebraska, Iowa set for regular-season finale
2014-11-28
It's a meaningless matchup that means everything to the Hawkeyes and Cornhuskers.
Nebraska coach Bo Pelini's status is yet again a hot topic ahead of the Iowa game. Pelini kept his job despite a 38-17 home thrashing against the Hawkeyes last November, and he rewarded new athletic director Shawn Eichorst with a bowl win over Georgia and an 8-1 start in 2014.
But a two-game slide has left the Huskers (8-3, 4-3 Big Ten) in danger of their sixth straight four-loss campaign.
A bad showing in Iowa City could spell the end for Pelini.
''I think the last two weeks we didn't play very well. I said this earlier in the year: Some of the things were happening and weren't hurting us. And that's reality. In the last two weeks it's hurt us,'' Pelini said.
Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz isn't going anywhere, not after signing a huge contract extension in 2010.
But a second straight win over Nebraska - and the 8-4 mark that would go with it - would go a long way toward satisfying a fan base that thought the Hawkeyes (7-4, 4-3) could have won the Big Ten West.
Both teams enter Friday's game unranked and out of league title game contention. But the circumstances surrounding this year's matchup should help turn this series into the rivalry the Big Ten always hoped it would become.
''We want to win really bad. They want to win really bad,'' Iowa quarterback Jake Rudock said. ''Does that make it a rivalry? It probably does.''
Here are a few key things to consider with Nebraska and Iowa set to meet in Iowa City:
ABDULLAH'S DAY? The Big Ten's best backs have done big things against the Hawkeyes in Kinnick Stadium. Indiana's Tevin Coleman had 219 yards rushing on just 15 carries and Wisconsin's Melvin Gordon had 200 in last week's 26-24 win. Nebraska's Ameer Abdullah could be the next back to slice through the Hawkeyes, but he hasn't been the same since he sprained his left knee against Purdue this month.
RUDOCK: Iowa quarterback Jake Rudock has made plenty of strides since the last time he played Nebraska. Rudock has 14 TD passes, a league-low four interceptions and is less than a point behind Ohio State's J.T. Barrett for the Big Ten lead in completion percentage. ''It's not only he has ability, but he really works at it hard. The other part is, can you do that when you get knocked around a little bit?'' Ferentz said. ''It's really a tough job. Some guys are better than others. He's really doing a nice job.''
GREGORY VS. SCHERFF: The matchup to watch inside will be Nebraska defensive end Brandon Gregory against Iowa tackle Brandon Scherff. Gregory has seven sacks and 10 tackles for loss. But Scherff is one of three finalists for the Outland Trophy given to the nation's top lineman. The Huskers will likely move Gregory around to exploit matchups, but it'll be fun to see Gregory and Scherff square off.
WIDEOUT WOES: Pelini said Monday that Jordan Westerkamp will play after hyperextending his knee in last week's loss to Minnesota. But Kenny Bell, whose 171 career catches are the most in school history, is questionable after sustaining an apparent concussion against the Gophers. ''When somebody has a head injury, it's difficult to say,'' Pelini said.
TICKETS: Iowa and Nebraska's fan bases have long been regarded among the most passionate in the Midwest. But that hasn't translated at the ticket office. Iowa spokesman Steve Roe said Wednesday that just under 3,000 tickets were still available. Kinnick Stadium seats 70,585.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers Betting Odds and Preview
2010-11-05
Sportsbook.com Alabama vs. LSU Lines: Alabama -6.5, Total: 44
Two one-loss SEC teams coming off a bye, clash in Baton Roug Online Bingo Play Slots Online in US e with the hope keeping national championship dreams alive. Alabama can boost its BCS resume if it beats LSU, then No. 21 Mississippi State and finally Auburn ranked second in the BCS.
LSU needs to beat Alabama, Ole Miss and No. 17 Arkansas (and hope Auburn loses) to have a shot at the SEC title. But all these wins won’t be easy; LSU has the worst November ATS record (3-12) among BCS schools over the past four seasons. Obviously the college football betting crowd is aware of this as 89 percent of Alabama vs. LSU point spread bettors are backing the Tide.
Alabama leads the all-time series 45-23-5 (66%), but the teams have split the past 18 meetings. Other than surrendering 35 points to South Carolina, the Crimson Tide defense has not allowed any of their other seven opponents to score more than 20 points.
Although they are known for their rushing attack, Alabama has just as many 300-yard passing games (four) as 200-yard rushing games (four) this season. QB Greg McElroy has not thrown an interception in his past four games, which is a span of 108 pass attempts. He threw for 276 yards and two touchdowns in Alabama’s 24-15 win over LSU last season.
RB Mark Ingram also had a big day against LSU in 2009 (144 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards), but he has struggled a bit this season. Ingram has not rushed for 100 yards in any of his past four games, averaging just 59 YPG on 4.5 YPC. He averaged 118 rush YPG and 6.1 YPC in last year’s Heisman-winning season.
LSU entered its last game against Auburn ranked as the sixth-best rushing defense in the nation (84 YPG), but was steamrolled for 440 rushing yards (8.5 YPC) in the 24-17 loss to Auburn. It won’t get much easier against an Alabama team with Ingram and Trent Richardson carrying the pigskin.
On offense, LSU has been pretty weak this year. The Tigers rank 113th in passing offense (139 YPG), 101st in total offense (318 YPG) and 73rd in scoring (25.5 PPG). Junior RB Stevan Ridley began the season averaging 111 rushing YPG in his first five games, but that number has been cut in half to 55 YPG over his past three contests. QB Jordan Jefferson has not thrown a touchdown pass in seven straight games, but has tossed seven interceptions during these 101 pass attempts.
After checking out some college football betting trends at Sportsbook.com, most of the numbers are pointing towards Alabama covering the point spread.
The road team is 13-3-2 ATS (12-6 SU) in the past 18 meetings, with Alabama posting an 8-1 ATS record in the past nine games at LSU
Les Miles is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game as the coach of LSU. The average score was LSU 27.3, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 4*).
As far as the ‘total’ is concerned, these two betting trends indicate the ‘under’ is the way to go and Sportsbook.com’s bettors agree as 74 percent of the cash is on the ‘under’.
LSU is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LSU 23.5, OPPONENT 10.4 - (Rating = 3*).
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (ALABAMA) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. (35-11 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*).
To bet on this game or to check out all of this weekend’s college football betting lines, head over to Sportsbook.com now.
Miami Hurricanes vs. Pitt Panthers Betting Preview
2010-09-23
Week 4 College Football betting gets off to a good start tonight the 1-1 Miami Hurricanes head north to take on 1-1 Pitt Panthers. Sportsbook.com currently has the Hurricanes as 4 point road favorites with a Total of 50.
Both schools need their star players to step up in a big way on Thursday. Hurricanes QB Jacory Harris threw four interceptions in the loss to OSU and Pitt’s Dion Lewis has been in a sophomore slump with just 2.9 YPC this year. With an extra week of rest, both teams will be at nearly full strength for this game, but there are a couple key injuries. Miami senior RB Graig Cooper (2,229 career rushing yards) is out with a leg injury, and Pittsburgh is still missing star DE Greg Romeus after undergoing back surgery. Romeus, the reigning Big East co-Defensive Player of the Year, had eight sacks, three forced fumbles and 11 QB hurries last year.
Miami moved the football fairly well against a strong OSU defense, racking up 232 passing yards and 120 rushing yards on 4.3 YPC, but it only had one offensive touchdown. RB Damien Berry carried 16 times for 94 yards and WR Leonard Hankerson caught seven passes for 90 yards. The defense had no answer for Terrelle Pryor, allowing the Heisman hopeful to gain 346 total yards (233 passing, 113 rushing).
After a brilliant freshman campaign (1,799 rush yds, 18 total TD), Dion Lewis has had no room to run this year. He had 10 carries for just 27 yards against New Hampshire, but Pittsburgh tried to get him touches through the air and Lewis had five catches for 52 yards. Junior WR Jon Baldwin has been the standout for Pittsburgh with 10 catches for 171 yards and two scores in the two games this season.
Pittsburgh doesn’t have a lot of signature wins recently, going 1-10 against non-conference ranked opponents since 1996. Miami has won six straight meetings, but these former Big East foes haven’t faced each other since 2003. But the coaches know each other very well, with Miami’s Randy Shannon having played under Pittsburgh’s Dave Wannstedt at Miami and also in the NFL.
Speaking of the coaches, there are a couple interesting betting trends involving each team’s head coach. By the way, to check out additional stats and trends for all of the games, check out the betting guides at Sportsbook.com.
Shannon is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off an ‘Over’ cover as the coach of MIAMI. The average score was MIAMI 24.7, OPPONENT 23.3.
Wannstedt is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game as the coach of PITTSBURGH. The average score was PITTSBURGH 28.4, OPPONENT 17.6.
For those that want to bet the Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh over/under, consider this trend:
MIAMI is 27-10 UNDER (+16.0 Units) when the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992. The average score was MIAMI 27.5, OPPONENT 19.1 – (Rating = 2*).
To check out all of the college football point spreads for this weekend, head over to Sportsbook.com now.
CFB: Capital One Bowl - LSU vs. PENN STATE (1:00 PM ET, ABC)
2010-01-04
Perhaps the best matchup of the New Year’s Day bowl games, LSU & Penn State bring plenty of talent, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, into their Capital One Bowl matchup. Penn State is the favorite, minus-2 points according to Sportsbook.com, but more bettors seem to be interested in the total going under the posted number of 43.5.
Penn State has gone 7-3 in bowl games since 1995, but two of those three losses came in the Capital One (formerly Florida Citrus) Bowl series. In fact, the Nittany Lions scored just 15 points in those two games. They’ll look to bust out offensively, or at least simply outscore LSU, in the 2010 game, which should be defensive oriented. Penn State yielded just 11.8 points per game, en route to a 10-2 SU and 6-6 ATS record. LSU was 9-3, allowing just 16.0 points per game. The Tigers will also be looking to extend a run of overall success in bowl games, as they boast a 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS record since 1995. Under head coach Les Miles, the Tigers are 15-6 ATS in games versus non-conference foes. Penn State was a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS on the road this year.
On the surface, Penn State (10-2) versus LSU (9-3) would seem like a premier bowl matchup. However, despite both teams’ lofty records, the reality is that neither of these teams were serious factors in their respective conference races. Combined, they were 0-4 against BCS conference foes and more interestingly, their offenses generated just 8.8 points per game in those matchups. Essentially, against quality opposition, both of these offenses shut down. There are also two very simple, yet powerful, trends that point to this one staying under the total of 44. Head coach Joe Paterno and Penn State are 92-69 going UNDER the total since 1992. Finally, if you would’ve blindly bet the UNDER on all Penn State and LSU games this year, you’d have some extra holiday spending money (15-7, +7.3 Units). I’ll call for that trend to continue.
Top FoxSheets.com ATS Trend
PENN ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game since 1992. The average score was PENN ST 16.6, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 1*)
Top FoxSheets.com Total Super Situation
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (PENN ST) - with a good defense - allowing 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game. (87-46 over the last 10 seasons.) (65.4%, +36.4 units. Rating = 2*)
CAPITAL ONE BOWL Series Trend: Georgia beat Michigan State last January in the Capital One Bowl to snap a 4-game upset winning streak by the Big Ten in the series. The last two times Penn State appeared in this game, they only scored 15 points combined, losing SU & ATS both times. Three of the L4 games have gone UNDER the total.